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Arctic blast to be followed by a slow return to seasonable conditions across the South this week

By Brandon Buckingham, AccuWeather Meteorologist

Published Nov 11, 2019 8:32 AM EST

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Many cities across the Southeast have seen November start off cooler than average and the upcoming forecast will continue that trend across the region.

With the exception of central and South Florida, many major Southeast cities have started the month out between 3 to 9 degrees Fahrenheit below normal.

An advancing storm system will drop rain with crashing temperatures on through Tuesday across the Deep South for places like Jackson, Mississippi; Tuscaloosa, Alabama, and Atlanta, Georgia.

Behind the wet weather, a winterlike air mass will arrive Tuesday night, allowing for residents to awake on Wednesday to the lowest temperatures so far this season.

Early morning temperatures on Wednesday could be as much as 45 degrees lower than the highs reached across the region on Monday afternoon.

"The thermometer readings on Wednesday morning will be challenging some records that have been in place for over a century," said AccuWeather Meteorologist Courtney Spamer.

Sub-freezing temperatures are forecast to extend down into places like Mobile, Alabama, and Pensacola, Florida, Tuesday night into Wednesday morning as an Arctic blast of air extends down to the Gulf Coast. Both of these cities are expected to break their record-low temperatures early Wednesday morning.

"High temperatures on Wednesday in many spots will be as many as 10 degrees below typical low temperatures in mid-November," AccuWeather Meteorologist Kyle Elliot said.

Places like Orlando and Tampa have managed to escape the cooler weather so far this fall, but the upcoming Arctic surge will finally extend into central Florida midweek. While 80s can be expected on Tuesday, temperatures will crash into the 60s and lower 70s midweek.

Related:

Freezing rain to accompany Arctic blast across southern Plains early this week
Arctic invasion to send temperatures below freezing for nearly 150 million people next week
Meteor shower known for brilliant fireballs to peak this week

High pressure will continue to promote dry, settled and cool conditions across the South after the initial Arctic blast of air. A slow but steady moderation of temperatures through the end of the week will keep the region feeling like fall.

AccuWeather meteorologists are continuing to monitor a potential storm system arising in the Gulf of Mexico late this week. At this time, areas along the immediate Gulf coast as well as the state of Florida can expect unsettled conditions Thursday and Friday.

If the system were to continue a path towards the Southeast Coast by this weekend, the rain could result in some drought relief across northern Florida, Georgia and South Carolina.

Along with wet weather being drawn up from the Gulf of Mexico, milder air will also follow the storm.

"By the weekend, temperatures should rise, putting an end to the mid-winter conditions," Spamer added.

Despite the moderation of temperatures, highs in the afternoon over the weekend will likely still dip below normal for mid-November.

Download the free AccuWeather app to get the latest updates on the storm and how it will affect your area. Keep checking back on AccuWeather.com and stay tuned to the AccuWeather Network on DirecTV, Frontier and Verizon Fios.

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