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News / Hurricane

Another budding tropical system to eye the Philippines this week

By Maura Kelly, AccuWeather meteorologist

Published Nov 16, 2019 7:38 PM EDT

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Tropical Storm Kalmaegi may not be the last tropical system to impact the Philippines this week.

While downpours from Kalmaegi are expected to continue across the northern Philippines through the beginning of the week, another system may develop and prolong the flood threat across the region.

This satellite image shows Kalmaegi near the Philippines, Fengshen in the upper right and a budding tropical system in the bottom right on Sunday. (Photo/RAMMB)

AccuWeather meteorologists are monitoring an area of energy currently located over the Pacific Ocean to the southeast of the Mariana Islands.

This disturbance is forecast to track to the west into the Philippine Sea in the coming days. Here it will be in an area of weak wind shear and warm water. This can allow the system to organize into the middle of the week.

How strong this system becomes will largely depend on how quickly it is able to spin up before reaching the Philippines.

Regardless of development, this storm is expected to increase moisture across the western Philippines and can produce periods of heavy rain.

Depending on the track of the storm, downpours can spread across central and southern Luzon regions and into the Visayas region during midweek.

New occurrences of flash flooding and mudslides are likely with how much rain has fallen across the region recently.

Related:

AccuWeather Tropical Headquarters
Philippines Weather Homepage
AccuWeather's 2019-2020 Asia winter forecast
Tropical Storm Raymond forms in eastern Pacific, may reach Mexico next week

If the storm is able to develop into a tropical depression or storm as it approaches the Philippines, it can bring locally damaging wind gusts to the region.

While this can lead to downed trees and power lines as well as some structural damage, especially with saturated soil across the area, flooding rainfall looks to be the main threat.

Into the end of the week, the system is forecast to continue on a westward track into the South China Sea, where it may weaken as it runs into an area of high wind shear.

However, should the storm remain organized, it could bring rain and gusty winds to Vietnam by the weekend and residents in the area should monitor the system throughout the week.

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