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Narda to unleash torrential rainfall, raise risk for mudslides across western Mexico into early Wednesday

By Eric Leister, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

Published Sep 30, 2019 1:41 PM EDT

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Narda made landfall as a tropical storm in western Mexico near Lazaro Cardenas on Sunday morning before weakening into a tropical depression.

However, on Monday, the storm moved back over open water and strengthened back into a tropical storm. Narda then made a second landfall in the Mexican state of Sinaloa on Monday night.

Narda will continue to weaken as it tracks farther inland across the rugged terrain of northern Mexico into Wednesday.

While Narda is only forecast to be a tropical depression, the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Hurricanes will be a 1 due to the continued high risk for flooding and mudslides.

Downpours have already inundated parts of Mexco's western coastline and surrounding areas with more than 175 mm (7 inches) reported in Acapulco and 125 mm (5 inches) in Colima.

Image showing Narda near the coast of Mexico on Monday. (NOAA/GOES-16 satellite image)

The heaviest rainfall into Wednesday will be across the states of Sinaloa, Sonora, Chihuahua and western Durango where 25-75 mm (1-3 inches) of additional rainfall are possible.

While rainfall totals are not expected to be as high in these areas, a quick 25 mm (1 inch) of rainfall can result in flash flooding and raise the risk for mudslides.

The threat for damaging winds will be minimal across northern Mexico as Narda continues to weaken.

Related:

Mexico Weather Center
Interactive Mexico weather satellite
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Rough seas, dangerous surf and rip currents will continue along Mexico's western coastline into midweek.

Daily showers and thunderstorms will also be a concern farther inland across the interior of central and southern Mexico into the middle of the week.

Satellite animation of Narda tracking near Mexico on Monday.

Locations such as Mexico City, Guadalajara, San Luis Potosi and Oaxaca will be at risk for these showers and thunderstorms that can produce localized flooding.

Baja California dodged the worst impacts from Narda with only a few brief downpours in parts of Baja California Sur.

Tropical moisture will then be pulled northward into New Mexico and Texas, where there will be additional flooding concerns.

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AccuWeather Weather News Narda to unleash torrential rainfall, raise risk for mudslides across western Mexico into early Wednesday
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